Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Wygona and Egor Pleshivtsev in the ITF Men Tsaghkadzor, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan Wygona' if Jan Wygona advances against Egor Pleshivtsev. This market will resolve to 'Egor Pleshivtsev' if Egor Pleshivtsev advances against Jan Wygona. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Tsaghkadzor: Jan Wygona vs Egor Pleshivtsev | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Jan Wygona, a Polish tennis player, faces Egor Pleshivtsev, a Russian competitor, in an ITF Men's tournament match scheduled for early June 2026 in Tsaghkadzor, Armenia. The current order book on Polymarket prices Wygona's advancement at 18 per cent, implying a substantial favourite position for Pleshivtsev. This pricing reflects the aggregate assessment of traders on the platform, with the spread between bid and ask orders establishing the implied probability across the settlement window closing 9 June 2026.
ITF circuit matches at this level typically feature players ranked outside the ATP top 500, where historical performance data remains sparse and recent form proves decisive. Comparable lower-tier ITF tournaments show that home-region advantages and court-surface familiarity can shift outcomes meaningfully. Pleshivtsev's implied 82 per cent probability suggests traders view him as the stronger player on current evidence, though the 18 per cent for Wygona reflects genuine uncertainty inherent in matches between lesser-ranked competitors where upsets occur with measurable frequency.
Traders monitoring this market should track any official ITF or tournament announcements regarding player withdrawals, injuries, or scheduling changes through the tournament's official channels. The Armenian venue and early-morning ET scheduling (3:30AM) present logistical considerations that could affect player preparation. The resolution mechanism includes a 50-50 tie outcome if the match is cancelled entirely or extends beyond seven days without completion, a non-negligible tail risk for lower-tier tournaments subject to weather or organisational delays.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Tsaghkadzor: Jan Wygona vs Egor Pleshivtsev" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $2K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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