Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Louis Wessels and Maximilian Oezcelik in the ITF Men Troisdorf, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 8:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Louis Wessels' if Louis Wessels advances against Maximilian Oezcelik. This market will resolve to 'Maximilian Oezcelik' if Maximilian Oezcelik advances against Louis Wessels. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Troisdorf: Louis Wessels vs Maximilian Oezcelik | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Louis Wessels and Maximilian Oezcelik are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's Troisdorf tournament on 27 May 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture on the ITF circuit, where both players compete for ranking points and prize money. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for resolution, suggesting traders view the match as virtually certain to proceed and produce a decisive outcome.
ITF Men's events at this tier typically feature high completion rates, with matches rarely cancelled or extended beyond scheduled windows. Historical data from comparable ITF tournaments shows cancellations occur in fewer than 5% of fixtures, usually attributable to weather or injury withdrawals announced within 48 hours of play. The settlement window extends to 3 June 2026, providing a six-day buffer beyond the scheduled date—sufficient for rescheduling in most weather-disruption scenarios. The extreme probability reading suggests the market has priced in minimal risk of the match failing to produce a winner.
Traders should monitor the ITF Troisdorf draw confirmation and any injury announcements from either player in the week preceding 27 May. Weather forecasts for the Troisdorf region become reliable approximately five days before the event. Withdrawal announcements typically emerge via the ATP/ITF official channels or player social media. Any indication of scheduling conflicts or surface conditions affecting the tournament venue could shift the current probability, though the order book's current depth suggests limited appetite for contrarian positions at present valuations.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Troisdorf: Louis Wessels vs Maximilian Oezcelik" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: