Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Nicod and Marvin Moeller in the ITF Men Louny, originally scheduled for May 14, 2026 at 5:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Nicod' if Jakub Nicod advances against Marvin Moeller. This market will resolve to 'Marvin Moeller' if Marvin Moeller advances against Jakub Nicod. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Louny: Jakub Nicod vs Marvin Moeller | 59% YES | 41% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Jakub Nicod faces Marvin Moeller in an ITF Men's tournament match at Louny, originally scheduled for 14 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices Nicod's advancement at 59%, reflecting modest confidence in the Czech player's prospects. ITF Louny events typically draw players ranked outside the ATP top 200, with matches often decided by consistency and court familiarity rather than explosive talent differentials.
Both players compete regularly on the ITF circuit, where surface preference and recent form carry substantial weight. Nicod has competed across European clay and hard courts, whilst Moeller's record suggests variable performance depending on tournament conditions. Historical ITF matchups at this level show that players with recent tournament wins within the preceding fortnight tend to outperform those returning from longer breaks. The 59% probability suggests the market views Nicod as marginally favoured, likely reflecting either recent results or head-to-head history, though ITF databases remain incomplete for lower-ranked competitors.
Traders should monitor official ITF and ATP tour announcements for any schedule changes or withdrawals prior to the 14 May start date. Weather conditions at Louny—typically variable in mid-May—could influence match timing and surface play. The settlement window extends to 21 May, allowing seven days for completion; any cancellation, tie, or unfinished match beyond that window triggers a 50-50 resolution. Current pricing reflects standard uncertainty for lower-tier professional tennis, where injury withdrawals and administrative delays occur more frequently than at Grand Slam level.
The ITF Jounieh Open is a tournament for female professional tennis players played on outdoor clay courts, classified as a $100k ITF Women's Circuit event. It is held annually in Jounieh, Lebanon, since 2003. The event was cancelled in 2006 and from 2011 due to sponsorship reasons.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Louny: Jakub Nicod vs Marvin Moeller" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 21 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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