Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Jack Mcgary and Maxim Shin in the ITF Men Kutaisi, originally scheduled for May 25, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jack Mcgary' if Jack Mcgary advances against Maxim Shin. This market will resolve to 'Maxim Shin' if Maxim Shin advances against Jack Mcgary. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kutaisi: Jack Mcgary vs Maxim Shin | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Jack McGary and Maxim Shin are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's Kutaisi tournament on 25 May 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture within the International Tennis Federation circuit, where both players compete for ranking points and prize money. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero implied probability for McGary's advancement, suggesting either minimal trading activity or strong market consensus favouring Shin. With settlement occurring on 1 June 2026, traders have approximately one week post-match for resolution.
ITF Men's circuit matches at this level historically feature significant volatility in outcomes, particularly when players have limited head-to-head history or comparable recent form data. McGary's 0% probability reflects either a substantial ranking or recent performance differential, or simply insufficient liquidity to establish a meaningful price. Comparable ITF fixtures often see probability shifts once draw confirmations and player injury reports surface closer to the event date.
Key catalysts include official tournament draw confirmation, which typically arrives one to two weeks before competition begins, and any player withdrawal announcements. Traders should monitor both players' recent ITF results and ATP Challenger participation for form indicators. Weather conditions in Kutaisi during late May could affect court conditions and match scheduling. The seven-day delay clause in settlement terms means matches postponed beyond 1 June would resolve to 50-50, creating additional risk for positions held through the settlement window.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kutaisi: Jack Mcgary vs Maxim Shin" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$599 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 1 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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