Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 25 at 4:00 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5) | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 78% YES | 23% NO |
| Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5) | 26% YES | 74% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 31% YES | 69% NO |
| O/U 5.5 | 12% YES | 89% NO |
| Curaçao (-1.5) | 11% YES | 89% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 54% YES | 47% NO |
| Both Teams to Score | 47% YES | 53% NO |
Curaçao and Côte d'Ivoire are scheduled to meet in a FIFA World Cup qualifier on 25 June 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50% implied probability for additional markets being created around this fixture, suggesting traders view it as a genuine toss-up whether supplementary betting markets will materialise beyond the primary match outcomes.
Historical precedent shows that World Cup qualifiers involving smaller confederations—particularly CONCACAF and CAF nations—receive variable market coverage depending on liquidity demand and platform strategy. Curaçao has limited recent World Cup qualification history, whilst Côte d'Ivoire qualified for the 2014 and 2018 tournaments. The depth of secondary market creation often correlates with betting volume on primary outcomes; fixtures generating sustained interest typically attract derivative markets for goal totals, player performance, and other granular outcomes.
Traders should monitor fixture confirmation and any schedule changes through official FIFA communications and confederation announcements in the coming months. Polymarket's order book formation reflects current uncertainty about whether platform operators will deem this match sufficiently liquid to justify additional market deployment. Injury announcements, squad selections, and competitive context closer to June 2026 will influence both primary match betting and the likelihood of expanded market offerings. The settlement window closing on 25 June at 20:00 UTC provides a tight window for market resolution.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$212 in lifetime turnover and $15K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 25 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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