Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between Venezuela and Türkiye, scheduled for June 6, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Venezuela | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Draw | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Türkiye | 49% YES | 52% NO |
Venezuela and Türkiye will contest a FIFA International Friendly on 6 June 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. The market settles on the halftime result—whether Venezuela (home), a draw, or Türkiye (away) leads after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. Current order book activity on Polymarket prices a Venezuela halftime lead at 49% implied probability, reflecting near-parity between the two outcomes as traders weigh the teams' respective attacking capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities in the opening period.
Halftime markets in friendlies typically reflect broader squad strength and recent form, though friendlies themselves carry less tactical intensity than competitive fixtures. Venezuela's home advantage historically carries modest weight in early-stage matches; friendlies played in South America show marginal home-team outperformance in first-half scoring. Türkiye's recent international record suggests a team capable of quick transitions, though their defensive solidity in opening periods has been inconsistent. The 49% probability suggests traders view both teams as roughly matched for halftime dominance, with slight lean toward competitive balance rather than pronounced home advantage.
Key variables include squad selection announcements closer to the fixture date and any late injury news affecting either team's attacking depth. Türkiye's squad rotation patterns in friendlies—particularly whether they field established starters or test fringe players—will influence early-match tempo. Venezuela's recent Copa América performance and domestic league form heading into June will also shape their intensity in the opening 45 minutes. Monitoring team news from official federation channels through early June will clarify which squads take the field.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.fifa.com. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Venezuela vs. Türkiye - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $211 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.fifa.com. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 6 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: