Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for June 4 at 8:00 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Guatemala (-1.5) | 42% YES | 59% NO |
| Czechia (-1.5) | 42% YES | 59% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 53% YES | 47% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 52% YES | 49% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 39% YES | 61% NO |
| Guatemala (-2.5) | 38% YES | 62% NO |
| Czechia (-2.5) | 38% YES | 62% NO |
Guatemala and Czechia will meet in a FIFA International Friendly on 4 June at 8:00 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket prices the YES outcome—likely referring to additional markets being created for this fixture—at 42%, reflecting modest conviction among traders that supplementary betting options will materialise before settlement on 5 June.
International friendlies between lower-ranked confederations typically generate limited secondary market interest compared to competitive fixtures or matches involving major footballing nations. Czechia, ranked 40th globally, commands greater attention than Guatemala (ranked 137th), yet the pairing itself sits outside the premium tier of friendly matches that routinely attract multiple derivative markets. Historical precedent suggests that markets for obscure friendlies often remain consolidated rather than proliferating; however, platform liquidity and user demand on Polymarket can override conventional expectations, particularly if early trading volume signals sustained interest.
The settlement window closes at midnight UTC on 5 June, leaving a narrow 24-hour window post-match for new markets to be created and validated. Traders should monitor whether the match generates unexpected engagement—unusual betting patterns, social media attention, or late-breaking team news—that might justify additional markets. Fixture confirmations, squad announcements, or injury updates to either side could shift perceived significance and thus platform operators' willingness to list supplementary options. The current 42% probability reflects genuine uncertainty rather than consensus expectation.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.fifa.com. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Guatemala vs. Czechia - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $1K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.fifa.com. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: