Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between Bolivia and Scotland, scheduled for June 6, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Bolivia vs. Scotland match originally scheduled for June 6, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Bolivia and Scotland will meet in a FIFA International Friendly on 6 June 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. The market resolves on the exact final score after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, with any scoreline not explicitly listed settling as "Any Other Score." The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50% implied probability, suggesting substantial uncertainty about whether the match will produce one of the pre-specified outcomes versus an unlisted result.
Historical precedent from international friendlies between nations of comparable strength indicates that exact-score markets typically see the most probable outcomes—draws and narrow victories—account for roughly 40–60% of total probability mass, with the remainder distributed across "Any Other Score." Bolivia ranks 83rd in the FIFA world rankings whilst Scotland sits at 37th, making a Scottish victory more likely, though friendlies often produce atypical results given reduced tactical intensity and squad rotation. The 50% probability currently priced suggests the market is pricing meaningful likelihood that the final scoreline will fall outside the explicitly listed options.
Traders should monitor squad announcements from both federations as the match approaches, particularly regarding injury status and player availability, which materially affect scoring patterns in friendlies. Scotland's recent form in 2025–26 qualifiers and any late tactical shifts by either manager could shift expectations around goal volume. The settlement window closes at 20:00 UTC on 6 June, allowing traders to adjust positions based on team sheets and pre-match conditions closer to kick-off.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.fifa.com. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Bolivia vs. Scotland - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $24 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.fifa.com. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 6 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: