Trade: CD Castellón vs. Cádiz CF - Exact Score
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming La Liga 2 game between CD Castellón and Cádiz CF, scheduled for May 15, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CD Castellón vs. Cádiz CF match originally scheduled for May 15, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will be the…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $25K
- Total Volume
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- 24h Volume
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- Open Interest
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Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 5% YES | 96% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 8% YES | 92% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 4% YES | 96% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 7% YES | 93% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 9% YES | 91% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 6% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
Market context
CD Castellón and Cádiz CF will contest a La Liga 2 fixture on 15 May 2026, with settlement determined by the final score at 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 17% implied probability for the exact score outcome, suggesting traders assess this as a relatively unlikely specific result among the available alternatives. Exact score markets typically fragment probability across numerous possible outcomes, with the most common scorelines (1–0, 1–1, 2–1) capturing the largest share of backing.
Historical patterns in La Liga 2 matches show that exact scores cluster around low-scoring results, particularly 1–0 and 1–1 finishes, which together account for roughly 35–40% of all matches. The 17% probability here indicates the market is pricing this specific outcome as less frequent than the modal scorelines but more probable than rarer results. Castellón and Cádiz's recent form, defensive solidity, and attacking output will determine whether the market's current assessment reflects their underlying match characteristics.
Traders should monitor team news releases for injury confirmations and squad availability in the days preceding the fixture. Cádiz's recent fixture congestion and Castellón's league position relative to playoff implications may influence tactical approach and intensity. Weather conditions on match day and any late managerial changes could shift expected goal distributions. The settlement window closes immediately after the final whistle, leaving no opportunity for post-match adjustments.
Wikipedia Context
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CD CastellónClub Deportivo Castellón, S.A.D. is a professional Spanish football team based in Castellón de la Plana, in the Valencian Community. Founded on 20 July 1922, it currently plays in Segunda División, holding home games at Nou Estadi Castàlia, which has a capacity of 15,500 seats.
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CD Castellón B
Club Deportivo Castellón "B" is a Spanish football team, founded in 1958 and based in Castellón de la Plana, in the Valencian Community, it's the reserve team of CD Castellón. Founded in 1958, they play in Segunda Federación – Group 3.
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Castellón de la PlanaCastellón de la Plana or Castelló de la Plana, is the capital city of the province of Castellón, in the Valencian Community, Spain. It is located near the eastern coastline of the Iberian Peninsula by the Mediterranean Sea. The main urban core lies some kilometres inland while the detached district of Grau was built around the port. The Desert de les Palmes
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Castellón (Congress of Deputies constituency)Castellón is one of the 52 constituencies represented in the Congress of Deputies, the lower chamber of the Spanish parliament, the Cortes Generales. The constituency currently elects five deputies. Its boundaries correspond to those of the Spanish province of Castellón. The electoral system uses the D'Hondt method and closed-list proportional representation
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "CD Castellón vs. Cádiz CF - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$0 in lifetime turnover and $25K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 15 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "CD Castellón vs. Cádiz CF - Exact Score"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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