Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Eredivisie game between Telstar 1963 and Heracles Almelo, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 10:45 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Telstar 1963 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Heracles Almelo | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Telstar 1963 will host Heracles Almelo in an Eredivisie fixture on 10 May 2026, with this market settling on the halftime result after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. The match kicks off at 10:45 AM ET, placing it in the early-morning window for North American traders. Currently, Polymarket's order book reflects 0% implied probability for a Telstar home halftime win, suggesting either strong backing for alternative outcomes (draw or away victory) or minimal liquidity formation at present.
Halftime markets in Dutch football have historically shown volatility relative to full-match pricing, particularly in fixtures between mid-table sides where tactical adjustments and substitution patterns differ markedly from final outcomes. Telstar's home record and Heracles' away performance through the 2025–26 season will anchor baseline expectations; teams finishing in similar points brackets typically see halftime draws priced between 35–50% depending on defensive stability and attacking tempo. The 0% reading on the home outcome suggests either the market has priced in Heracles' superior recent form or liquidity has not yet accumulated sufficient volume to establish meaningful odds.
Traders should monitor team news releases and official Eredivisie scheduling confirmations as the settlement window approaches. Injury announcements affecting key defensive or attacking personnel, particularly in the fortnight before 10 May, will shift halftime expectations. Historical weather conditions for Dutch football in early May—typically mild with variable precipitation—may influence early-game pace and passing accuracy, factors that correlate with halftime scorelines.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://eredivisie.nl/competitie/speelschema. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Telstar 1963 vs. Heracles Almelo - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $1K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://eredivisie.nl/competitie/speelschema. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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