Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Eredivisie game between Go Ahead Eagles and PSV, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 10:45 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Go Ahead Eagles | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| PSV | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Go Ahead Eagles will host PSV Eindhoven on 10 May 2026 in an Eredivisie fixture, with this market settling on the halftime scoreline after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. The 0% YES probability currently reflected on Polymarket's order book indicates traders are pricing a Go Ahead Eagles halftime victory as effectively impossible, with all liquidity concentrated on PSV wins or draws at the interval.
Historically, halftime markets in Eredivisie matches between top-six sides and mid-table opponents show PSV establishing early control in roughly 70% of fixtures, though Go Ahead Eagles have demonstrated competitive first-half performances in recent seasons. The current extreme probability skew reflects PSV's standing as consistent title contenders with superior squad depth and tactical experience, whilst Go Ahead Eagles typically operate as a mid-table side. However, halftime results are inherently volatile—early goals, defensive errors, or tactical adjustments can shift outcomes rapidly within 45 minutes, making such extreme probabilities historically prone to repricing.
Traders should monitor team news releases through early May, particularly injury updates for PSV's key attacking players and Go Ahead Eagles' defensive personnel. Fixture congestion in the final weeks of the Eredivisie season may affect squad rotation decisions. Weather conditions on match day and recent form trajectories for both sides will influence opening-half dynamics. The settlement window closes at 14:45 UTC on match day, providing traders with real-time information flow until approximately 30 minutes after kickoff.
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This market settles from the official outcome published at https://eredivisie.nl/competitie/speelschema. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Go Ahead Eagles vs. PSV - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$361 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $361 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://eredivisie.nl/competitie/speelschema. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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