Trade: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC - Exact Score
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Premier League game between Wolverhampton Wanderers FC and Fulham FC, scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC match originally scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $40K
- Total Volume
- $112
- 24h Volume
- —
- Open Interest
- $27
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-1 | 7% YES | 94% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 6% YES | 94% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 4% YES | 96% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-2 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-1 | 3% YES | 98% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-0 | 3% YES | 97% NO |
Market context
Wolverhampton Wanderers and Fulham will meet on 17 May 2026 in what appears to be a late-season Premier League fixture. The market settles on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with any result not explicitly listed resolving to "Any Other Score." The 10% crowd-implied probability reflects the combined likelihood of all specifically enumerated scorelines across Polymarket's order book, suggesting traders view most outcomes as dispersed across the "Any Other Score" category rather than concentrated in any single result.
Exact-score markets typically show low probabilities for individual outcomes because football matches generate substantial variance in results. Historical precedent from similar Premier League fixtures indicates that even heavily favoured teams rarely exceed 25–30% implied probability for their most likely scoreline. The current 10% reading suggests the market is pricing in either relatively balanced competitive strength between the sides or significant uncertainty about team form and availability closer to the settlement date.
Traders should monitor squad news and injury updates in the weeks preceding the match, particularly regarding key attacking or defensive personnel at either club. Fixture congestion in May—with potential European commitments or cup finals affecting rotation—could materially shift expected scorelines. Recent managerial statements and league position at that stage will also inform whether either side is playing for specific outcomes (securing European qualification, avoiding relegation) that might influence tactical approach and goal-scoring patterns.
Wikipedia Context
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Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C.Wolverhampton Wanderers Football Club, commonly referred to as Wolves, is a professional football club based in Wolverhampton, England. The club competes in the Premier League, the top tier of English football, but will compete in the EFL Championship in the 2026–27 season following relegation. The club has played at Molineux Stadium since moving from Dudley
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Wolverhampton Wanderers W.F.C.Wolverhampton Wanderers Women's Football Club, commonly known as Wolves Women, is an English women's football club affiliated with Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C. The club will play in the Womens Super League 2 for the 2026-27 season, after being promoted from the Womens National League.
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Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C. v Budapest Honvéd FCWolverhampton Wanderers F.C. v Budapest Honvéd FC was an association football match that took place on 13 December 1954, and was instrumental in the eventual formation of the European Cup. The match was played under floodlights, and was broadcast live on BBC television.
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Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C. in European football
This is the list of all Wolverhampton Wanderers' European matches. The club's first entry into European competitions was the 1958–59 European Cup, with their most recent being the 2019–20 UEFA Europa League. They reached the UEFA Europa League quarter-finals for the 2019–20 season where they were defeated 1-0 by Sevilla. The best result was reaching the fina
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.premierleague.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$112 in lifetime turnover and $40K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.premierleague.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC - Exact Score"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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