Trade: Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC - Exact Score
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Premier League game between Manchester City FC and Crystal Palace FC, scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC match originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $23K
- Total Volume
- $174
- 24h Volume
- —
- Open Interest
- $174
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 3% YES | 98% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 8% YES | 93% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 39% YES | 61% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 2% YES | 98% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-1 | 6% YES | 94% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-0 | 7% YES | 93% NO |
Market context
Manchester City travel to Selhurst Park on 13 May 2026 for a Premier League fixture against Crystal Palace. The market prices exact final scores at 42% implied probability across all listed outcomes combined, with the settlement window closing at 19:00 UTC on match day. This represents a concentrated bet on specific scorelines rather than broader match outcomes, requiring precision in prediction given the granularity of exact-score markets.
Exact-score markets in Premier League football typically see lower aggregate probabilities than match-winner or over/under markets, as the number of possible outcomes fragments available liquidity. Historical data from similar fixtures shows that when a strong side faces a mid-table opponent, the most frequently listed scorelines (1–0, 2–0, 2–1) account for roughly 60–70% of actual results, whilst outcomes beyond 3–1 become increasingly unlikely. City's recent form and Palace's defensive record will anchor expectations; City averaged 2.3 goals per match in their previous ten fixtures as of early 2026, whilst Palace conceded at rates suggesting vulnerability to City's attacking intensity.
Traders should monitor team news through the settlement window, particularly City squad availability and any late tactical adjustments from either side. Palace's injury status, especially in defence, directly influences the probability distribution across scorelines. The Polymarket order book will reflect real-time shifts as match day approaches and fresh information emerges; early trading may price in uncertainty that resolves once lineups are confirmed approximately 90 minutes before kick-off.
Wikipedia Context
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Manchester City F.C.Manchester City Football Club, commonly referred to as Man City, is a professional football club based in Manchester, England, that competes in the Premier League, the top flight of English football. Founded in 1880 as St. Mark's, they became Ardwick Association Football Club in 1887 and Manchester City in 1894. The club's home ground is the City of Manchest
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Manchester City W.F.C.
Manchester City Women's Football Club is an English women's football club based in Manchester who play in the Women's Super League. It is affiliated with Manchester City which plays in the Premier League.
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Manchester City F.C. Under-21s and Academy
Manchester City is represented at Reserve level for football by the Elite Development Squad, also referred to as just the Elite Squad, or EDS, a predominantly Under-23 side that replaced the previous Reserve team in a move to focus on youth development post-academy. The club is represented at the Under-18 level by the Manchester City Academy team.
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Manchester City CouncilManchester City Council is the local authority for the city of Manchester in Greater Manchester, England. Manchester has had an elected local authority since 1838, which has been reformed several times. Since 1974 the council has been a metropolitan borough council. It provides the majority of local government services in the city. The council has been a mem
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.premierleague.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$174 in lifetime turnover and $23K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.premierleague.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC - Exact Score"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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