Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Premier League game between Leeds United FC and Brighton & Hove Albion FC, scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC match originally scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 10% YES | 91% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-1 | 7% YES | 93% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 6% YES | 94% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-2 | 6% YES | 94% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 5% YES | 96% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 6% YES | 94% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-1 | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-2 | 3% YES | 97% NO |
Leeds United and Brighton & Hove Albion will meet on 17 May 2026 in a Premier League fixture. The market prices an exact final score at 10% implied probability across Polymarket's order book, reflecting the combined likelihood of all discrete scorelines. Settlement occurs at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty outcomes. Any result not explicitly listed resolves to "Any Other Score," which typically captures the plurality of outcomes in football matches.
Exact-score markets in football historically show low individual probabilities for any single result because the distribution of final scores is broad. In Premier League matches, draws and narrow victories (1–0, 2–1) occur most frequently, whilst scorelines above 3–2 become progressively less common. Brighton's defensive record and Leeds' attacking output will shape which specific scores traders should weight most heavily. The 10% aggregate probability suggests the market is pricing in moderate volatility and competitive balance between the sides, though this varies significantly depending on team form, injuries, and tactical setup closer to the fixture date.
Traders should monitor team news in the weeks preceding the match, including injury updates and managerial decisions that affect squad composition. Brighton's recent fixture congestion and Leeds' league position will influence expected goal-scoring patterns. Polymarket's order book will tighten as match day approaches, typically showing sharper pricing on the most probable scorelines once lineups are confirmed. Weather conditions and pitch state on the day may also affect scoring likelihood, though these remain unknowable until shortly before kick-off.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.premierleague.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$100 in lifetime turnover and $31K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.premierleague.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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