Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Premier League game between Fulham FC and AFC Bournemouth, scheduled for May 9, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Fulham FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| AFC Bournemouth | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Fulham FC will host AFC Bournemouth on 9 May 2026 in a Premier League fixture, with this market settling on the halftime scoreline after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. The current 0% implied probability on the order book reflects either extreme confidence in alternative outcomes or minimal trading activity at present price levels, a common pattern for niche halftime markets that typically see heavier action closer to kickoff.
Halftime markets in Premier League fixtures historically show that home advantage carries measurable weight, though the effect is less pronounced than in full-match betting. Fulham's home record and Bournemouth's away form heading into May will be material anchors for traders assessing whether the current probability reflects genuine expectation or simply illiquidity. Teams' tactical approaches—whether they press aggressively early or adopt conservative setups—create variance in halftime outcomes that differs substantially from final-match patterns, making comparable fixture data from both sides' recent campaigns relevant reference points.
Team news, injury status, and managerial selection decisions will crystallise in the days before the fixture. Traders should monitor official squad announcements and pre-match press conferences for any indication of rotation or tactical adjustments that might affect early-game intensity. The settlement window closes at 14:00 UTC on match day, providing a defined window for order book activity as kickoff approaches and more granular information becomes available.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.premierleague.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$6K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.premierleague.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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