Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for Saturday, May 9, 2026 between Brighton & Hove Albion FC and Wolverhampton Wanderers FC.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Draw (Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Brighton & Hove Albion will host Wolverhampton Wanderers on Saturday, 9 May 2026 in a Premier League fixture. The match settles this market at the final whistle, with the event currently priced at 100% implied probability on Polymarket's order book, indicating either a technical constraint in the market structure or unanimous consensus among active traders that the fixture will proceed as scheduled.
Fixtures between these two clubs have historically been competitive, though Brighton have generally held the upper hand in recent seasons under their current management structure. The 100% probability reading is unusual for a sporting event still months away and typically reflects either minimal liquidity in the order book—where even small positions can move prices to extremes—or the market's treatment of this as a near-certainty event with no realistic settlement ambiguity. For context, Premier League matches rarely fail to occur once officially scheduled, with postponements typically requiring exceptional circumstances such as severe weather or major security incidents.
Traders monitoring this market should track team news, fixture congestion, and any administrative changes to the Premier League calendar through official sources such as the Premier League website and club announcements. Injuries to key players or managerial changes would not affect settlement but could influence related betting markets. The settlement window closes at 14:00 GMT on match day, allowing for final confirmation that the fixture has been completed. Any announcement of postponement would be the primary catalyst to challenge the current probability.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.premierleague.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$587K in lifetime turnover and $1.2M of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $534K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.premierleague.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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