Trade: Millwall FC vs. Hull City AFC - Exact Score
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming EFL Championship game between Millwall FC and Hull City AFC, scheduled for May 11, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Millwall FC vs. Hull City AFC match originally scheduled for May 11, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $372
- Total Volume
- $10
- 24h Volume
- $10
- Open Interest
- $5
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-1 | 10% YES | 91% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-0 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-3 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 43% YES | 57% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
Market context
Millwall FC and Hull City AFC will contest an EFL Championship fixture on 11 May 2026, with settlement determined by the exact final score at 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 3% implied probability for this outcome, indicating traders assess the likelihood of a specific scoreline materialising as relatively low. With dozens of possible exact scores across a typical Championship match, any single result carries modest odds; the market's pricing suggests this particular scoreline sits outside the most probable outcomes given current squad composition and recent form.
Championship matches between mid-table sides historically produce a distribution skewed towards narrow margins. Analysis of comparable fixtures between Millwall and Hull City over recent seasons shows results clustering around 1–0, 1–1, and 2–1 outcomes. The 3% probability on Polymarket's order book reflects the baseline rarity of exact scores rather than exceptional team weakness or strength. Traders should note that Championship promotion races and relegation battles can intensify late-season fixtures; both clubs' final league positions by May 2026 will shape tactical approach and squad rotation decisions.
Key variables affecting settlement include injury announcements in the fortnight preceding the match, managerial changes at either club, and weather conditions on match day. Recent Championship scheduling has occasionally produced fixture congestion affecting squad freshness. The settlement window closes immediately after the final whistle, leaving no room for post-match administrative delays. Any postponement would extend the market's duration until completion.
Wikipedia Context
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Millwall F.C.–West Ham United F.C. rivalryThe football rivalry between Millwall and West Ham United is one of the longest-standing in English football. The two teams, then known as Millwall Athletic and Thames Ironworks, both originated in the East End of London, and were located less than three miles apart. They first played each other in the 1899–1900 FA Cup. The match was historically known as th
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Millwall Bushwackers
The Millwall Bushwackers are a hooligan football firm associated with Millwall Football Club. Millwall have a historic association with football hooliganism, which came to prevalence in the 1970s and 1980s, with a firm made up of Kent Resident known individually as a Bushwacker. The "promotion" of a "Bushwacker", usually as they aged up, was to membership in
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Millwall (ward)
Millwall was an electoral ward in the London Borough of Tower Hamlets from 1978 to 2014. The ward was first used in the 1978 elections and last used for the 2010 elections. It returned councillors to Tower Hamlets London Borough Council. The ward is known for the 1993 Millwall by-election when the first British National Party councillor was elected.
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Millwall Lionesses F.C.Millwall Lionesses Football Club is an English women's football club based in Rotherhithe, south-east London, that plays in the London and South East Women's Regional Football League Premier Division, the fifth tier of English women's football.
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.efl.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Millwall FC vs. Hull City AFC - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$10 in lifetime turnover and $372 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $10 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.efl.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Millwall FC vs. Hull City AFC - Exact Score"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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