Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Denmark Superliga game between FC Fredericia and Silkeborg IF, scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Fredericia vs. Silkeborg IF match originally scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 6% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 6% YES | 94% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 7% YES | 93% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 11% YES | 89% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 6% YES | 94% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 4% YES | 96% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 7% YES | 93% NO |
FC Fredericia will host Silkeborg IF in a Denmark Superliga fixture on 17 May 2026. The market prices an exact final score at 32% implied probability across Polymarket's order book, reflecting the combined likelihood of all explicitly listed scorelines versus the residual "Any Other Score" category. Settlement hinges on the 90-minute result plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded from consideration.
The 32% probability sits at the lower end of typical exact-score markets, which generally range between 25–40% depending on league competitiveness and team volatility. Danish Superliga matches have produced exact scores within listed outcomes roughly 60–70% of the time historically, though this varies by fixture context. Fredericia and Silkeborg occupy mid-table positions in recent seasons, suggesting moderate goal-scoring patterns rather than high-variance scorelines. Teams with similar defensive solidity and attacking output typically generate tighter probability distributions around 1–2 goal outcomes.
Traders should monitor team news through late May, particularly injury updates and squad rotation decisions as the season concludes. Fredericia's home advantage typically yields modest edge in Superliga play. Weather conditions on match day—wind and precipitation common in Danish spring—can suppress goal totals. Any late fixture rescheduling would extend the settlement window, though the market remains open until completion. Recent form, particularly goal-scoring trends in final-round matches, will sharpen probability estimates closer to kick-off.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://superligaen.dk/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "FC Fredericia vs. Silkeborg IF - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $26K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://superligaen.dk/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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