Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes in the cricket match between Himalayan Xi and Bodoland scheduled for 2026-04-26 in T20 BIFA Cup. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Himalayan Xi will be considered correct if Himalayan Xi is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Bodoland.The outcome corresponding to Bodoland will be considered correct if Bodoland is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Himalayan Xi. If both teams record the same number of sixes, the market will resolve to "Draw".
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Draw | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| HIM | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| BOD | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The T20 BIFA Cup match between Himalayan Xi and Bodoland on 26 April 2026 will determine which regional side strikes more sixes across their innings. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability, indicating the market is pricing this as a near-certainty outcome—a position typically reserved for events with minimal uncertainty or substantial backing from informed traders. Settlement relies on official ESPN Cricinfo match statistics, establishing a clear factual basis for resolution.
T20 cricket's six-hitting dynamics vary considerably by regional team composition and playing conditions. Himalayan Xi and Bodoland represent distinct regional cricket ecosystems within the BIFA framework, with differing squad depth in explosive batting talent. Historical BIFA Cup matches show that six counts typically range between 8 and 16 per team in T20 formats, though venue characteristics and pitch conditions at the scheduled ground significantly influence aggregate power-hitting output. Teams with stronger overseas-influenced batting lineups or established domestic T20 performers tend to accumulate higher six tallies.
Traders should monitor squad announcements and any injury updates released closer to 26 April, as the absence of key batsmen can materially shift six-hitting capacity. Weather forecasts for the match venue merit attention—overcast conditions typically suppress six-hitting, whilst clear skies and shorter boundaries favour aggressive strokeplay. The current 100% probability warrants scrutiny; such extreme readings often reflect thin liquidity in early-stage markets rather than genuine certainty, creating potential arbitrage opportunities as additional traders enter the order book and new information surfaces.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "T20 BIFA Cup: Himalayan Xi vs Bodoland - Most Sixes" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 4 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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