Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Chile Primera game, scheduled for May 16 at 8:00 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| CD Limache (-1.5) | 24% YES | 76% NO |
| CD Universidad Católica (-1.5) | 24% YES | 76% NO |
| CD Limache (-2.5) | 19% YES | 81% NO |
| CD Universidad Católica (-2.5) | 18% YES | 82% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 78% YES | 23% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 35% YES | 66% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 20% YES | 80% NO |
| Both Teams to Score | 66% YES | 35% NO |
CD Limache will face CD Universidad Católica in a Chile Primera Division match on 16 May 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket is pricing a YES outcome—presumably a Limache victory or draw, depending on market construction—at 22%, reflecting strong backing for Universidad Católica. This probability has formed through live trading activity and reflects the relative strength of the two clubs in the Chilean league hierarchy.
Universidad Católica has historically dominated domestic competition, winning multiple Primera Division titles and maintaining consistent qualification for Copa Libertadores. Limache, by contrast, competes at a lower tier of competitive standing within the division. Historical matchups between sides of this calibre typically see the stronger team favoured at 75–80% implied probability, suggesting the current 22% for the underdog reflects either recent form shifts, injury concerns affecting the favourite, or specific tactical considerations that traders are pricing in today.
Traders should monitor team news through the settlement window, particularly injury updates and squad rotation decisions from Universidad Católica's coaching staff in the days before kick-off. The Chilean league's fixture congestion in May, with potential midweek Copa matches affecting squad availability, could shift probabilities materially. Any official announcements regarding player absences or managerial changes would likely move the order book, as would fixture postponements—though the May 17 settlement deadline provides minimal buffer for rescheduling scenarios.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://anfp.cl/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "CD Limache vs. CD Universidad Católica - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $13K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://anfp.cl/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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