Trade: Edmonton Elks vs. Ottawa Redblacks
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming CFL game between the Edmonton Elks and Ottawa Redblacks, scheduled for June 6 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Edmonton Elks" if the Edmonton Elks win the game. This market will resolve to "Ottawa Redblacks" if the Ottawa Redblacks win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $30
- Total Volume
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- 24h Volume
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- Open Interest
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Market outcomes
| Edmonton Elks vs. Ottawa Redblacks | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Spread -3.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 51.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
The Canadian Football League matchup between Edmonton and Ottawa on 6 June represents a mid-season contest in the CFL's regular season. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 split, indicating the market participants view both teams as evenly matched for this fixture. The settlement window extends to 13 June, allowing for postponement scenarios common in Canadian football during early summer weather patterns.
Historical performance between these franchises shows competitive balance over recent seasons, though Edmonton has held marginal advantages in head-to-head records. The Elks finished the 2023 season with a 9-9 record whilst Ottawa managed 8-10, suggesting Edmonton enters with slightly stronger recent form. However, CFL outcomes remain volatile week-to-week, with injury status and roster depth shifts creating substantial variance in team capability. The even probability reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear favourite emerging from recent performance data.
Key variables affecting the outcome include confirmed player availability, particularly at quarterback and defensive positions, which typically emerge in the week preceding the match. Weather conditions at the scheduled venue and any late-season roster transactions announced between now and kickoff could shift the implied probability. Traders should monitor official CFL injury reports and team announcements through early June, as the settlement window's extension to 13 June accommodates potential postponements that might alter team preparation or player condition.
Wikipedia Context
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Edmonton ElksThe Edmonton Elks are a professional Canadian football team based in Edmonton. The club competes in the Canadian Football League (CFL) as a member of the league's West Division and plays their home games at Commonwealth Stadium. The Elks were founded in 1949 as the Edmonton Eskimos and have won the Grey Cup championship fourteen times, most recently in 2015
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Edmonton Elks all-time records and statistics
The following is a select list of Edmonton Elks all-time records and statistics current to the 2025 CFL season.
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Edmonton Rugby Foot-ball Club
Edmonton Rugby Foot-ball Club was an early Canadian football team based in Edmonton, Alberta. The team was founded in 1907 as the Edmonton Rugby Foot-ball Club. The club was renamed the Edmonton Esquimaux in 1908 and again as the Edmonton Eskimos in 1910. Later it took the name Edmonton Boosters, then the Edmonton Hi-Grads in 1936, then yet another incarnati
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List of Edmonton Elks head coaches
The Edmonton Elks are a professional Canadian football team based in Edmonton, Alberta, and are members of the West Division in the Canadian Football League (CFL).
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.cfl.ca/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Edmonton Elks vs. Ottawa Redblacks" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$0 in lifetime turnover and $30 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.cfl.ca/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Edmonton Elks vs. Ottawa Redblacks"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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