Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Sunday, May 10, 2026 between Clube do Remo and SE Palmeiras.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Clube do Remo | 16% YES | 85% NO |
| Draw (Clube do Remo vs. SE Palmeiras) | 34% YES | 67% NO |
| SE Palmeiras | 51% YES | 50% NO |
Clube do Remo will face SE Palmeiras in a Série A fixture on Sunday, 10 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices a Remo victory at 22 per cent implied probability, reflecting the substantial gap in competitive standing between the two clubs. Palmeiras, a five-time Libertadores champion and consistent title contender, enters as heavy favourites, whilst Remo—based in Belém and historically a mid-table side—carries longer odds despite home advantage.
Historical matchups between these sides provide context for the pricing. Palmeiras has dominated recent encounters, winning the majority of direct meetings over the past decade. When lower-ranked Série A sides face Palmeiras away from home, victory probabilities typically range between 15 and 25 per cent depending on form and squad depth. The 22 per cent mark sits within this band, suggesting the market has priced in Remo's home-ground benefit without materially shifting the baseline expectation.
Traders should monitor team news through early May, particularly injury updates for Palmeiras' key players and any fixture congestion from continental competition. Palmeiras' involvement in Copa Libertadores matches in the weeks preceding this fixture could affect squad rotation and fatigue levels. Weather conditions in Belém—notably humidity and heat—occasionally influence performance differentials. Recent Série A form for both sides, published in official league standings and sports media outlets, will refine the probability as the settlement window approaches.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/campeonato-brasileiro-serie-a. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Clube do Remo vs. SE Palmeiras" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$137K in lifetime turnover and $187K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $133K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/campeonato-brasileiro-serie-a. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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