Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Bolivia LFPB game between Club The Strongest and Club Bolívar, scheduled for May 31, 2026 at 5:15 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Club The Strongest vs. Club Bolívar match originally scheduled for May 31, 2026 at 5:15 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
Club The Strongest and Club Bolívar, two of Bolivia's most established football clubs, meet on 31 May 2026 in the LFPB (Liga de Fútbol Profesional Boliviana). The market prices exact-score outcomes for the 90-minute result, with the current order book implying a 49% probability for the YES position—suggesting meaningful uncertainty around which specific scoreline will materialise. This probability reflects the combined weight of all listed exact scores versus the catch-all "Any Other Score" category, which typically captures 30–40% of outcomes in football markets given the wide distribution of final results.
Historically, matches between these two clubs produce competitive, low-scoring affairs. Over the past decade, their head-to-head record shows a concentration of 1–0, 1–1, and 2–1 results, with draws occurring in roughly 35–40% of fixtures. The current 49% YES reading suggests traders are pricing in a meaningful probability that the match settles to one of the explicitly listed outcomes rather than an unlisted scoreline, which aligns with the typical clustering of results in Bolivian top-flight football where 2–2 and 3–1 results remain relatively uncommon.
Traders should monitor team news and squad availability in the weeks preceding the fixture, particularly injury updates to key attacking players from either side. Fixture congestion in the Bolivian calendar and any weather disruptions affecting pitch conditions could influence goal-scoring patterns. The settlement window closes at 21:15 UTC on match day, allowing only the regulation 90 minutes plus stoppage time to count toward resolution.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://lfpb.com.bo/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Club The Strongest vs. Club Bolívar - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $569 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://lfpb.com.bo/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: