Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Pro A game, scheduled for May 25 at 3:00PM ET: If the Monaco win, the market will resolve to "Monaco". If the Bourg-en-Bresse win, the market will resolve to "Bourg-en-Bresse". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Monaco vs. Bourg-en-Bresse | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Monaco and Bourg-en-Bresse are scheduled to meet in a Pro A basketball fixture on 25 May at 3:00 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Monaco, indicating traders are pricing this as a near-certain outcome. This extreme skew suggests either overwhelming confidence in Monaco's superiority or potential illiquidity in the order book, where even modest backing of the favourite has compressed prices to the extremes.
Monaco competes at the apex of French basketball, having won multiple Ligue Pro A titles and consistently fielding squads capable of competing in European competitions. Bourg-en-Bresse, by contrast, operates in a lower competitive tier and has historically struggled against top-flight opposition. Historical matchups between clubs of this calibre typically see the stronger side prevail with regularity, though upsets do occur in single-game formats. The current pricing reflects this asymmetry but may not account for the inherent variance present in any discrete sporting event.
Traders should monitor team news regarding injuries or roster changes closer to the fixture date, particularly for Monaco's key players. Fixture congestion in the Pro A calendar or European competition schedules could affect squad rotation decisions. The settlement window extends to 1 June 2026, providing time for postponements or rescheduling should circumstances require it. Any announcement of player unavailability at Monaco could shift the order book, though current pricing suggests the market has already priced in baseline expectations.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.lnb.fr/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Monaco vs. Bourg-en-Bresse" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$26K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.lnb.fr/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 1 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: