Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Pro A game, scheduled for May 9 at 2:30PM ET: If the ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne win, the market will resolve to "ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne". If the Strasbourg win, the market will resolve to "Strasbourg". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Strasbourg | 100% YES | 0% NO |
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne, France's most successful Pro A franchise with multiple domestic titles, faces Strasbourg in a league fixture scheduled for 9 May at 14:30 ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for an ASVEL victory, suggesting the market is pricing this as a heavily favoured outcome. This extreme probability warrants scrutiny, as such pricing typically emerges only when one side holds overwhelming structural advantage or when liquidity constraints limit price discovery.
Historically, ASVEL's domestic dominance provides context for reading this probability. The club has won the Pro A championship five times and consistently finishes among the league's top seeds. Strasbourg, whilst a respectable mid-table competitor, lacks comparable pedigree. However, single-game outcomes in basketball remain inherently volatile; even strong favourites lose roughly 15–20% of the time against league opponents. The 100% pricing suggests either minimal liquidity on the Polymarket order book for this fixture, or traders have incorporated information about team availability, injuries, or scheduling that would justify such certainty.
Key catalysts to monitor include official team sheets and injury reports in the days preceding the match. Any late withdrawal of ASVEL's core players—particularly guards or frontcourt contributors—could materially shift expected value. Conversely, confirmation of Strasbourg's full roster availability might tighten the probability somewhat. The settlement window extends to 16 May, allowing for potential postponement scenarios. Traders should verify fixture confirmation through official Pro A channels, as scheduling changes occasionally occur in European basketball.
ASVEL Basket, known as LDLC ASVEL since 2018 for sponsorship reasons, is a French professional basketball team located in the commune of Villeurbanne, a suburb of Lyon, France. The club, which is the basketball section of the ASVEL multi-sports club, competes at the highest level of French basketball, the LNB Élite. The club's home games are played in both t
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.lnb.fr/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Strasbourg" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$4K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.lnb.fr/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 16 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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