Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming ABA League game, scheduled for May 6 at 3:00PM ET: If the Partizan win, the market will resolve to "Partizan". If the Bosna Royal win, the market will resolve to "Bosna Royal". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Partizan vs. Bosna Royal | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Partizan Belgrade and Bosna Royal are scheduled to meet in an ABA League fixture on 6 May at 3:00PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Partizan, indicating traders are pricing this as a heavily one-sided contest. This extreme probability typically emerges when one team holds a decisive competitive advantage or when historical matchup data strongly favours one side.
Partizan Belgrade operates as one of the ABA League's dominant franchises, with consistent playoff appearances and strong domestic credentials. Bosna Royal, by contrast, competes at a lower tier within the regional hierarchy. Historical head-to-head records between clubs of this calibre differential typically show win rates exceeding 90% for the stronger side, which aligns with the current market pricing. The 100% reading suggests traders view an upset as negligible in probability terms.
Traders monitoring this market should track squad availability announcements in the week preceding the fixture, as injuries to key Partizan personnel could shift the probability meaningfully downward. The settlement window closes 13 May at 19:00 UTC, allowing seven days post-match for official result confirmation. Postponement risk exists given the Balkans' spring weather patterns, which would keep the market open beyond the initial settlement date. Any late fixture cancellations without rescheduling would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause, though this remains an outlier scenario given the ABA League's standard make-up protocols.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.aba-liga.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Partizan vs. Bosna Royal" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$4K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.aba-liga.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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