Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game between ADC Juan Pablo II College and Club Alianza Atlético, scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 4:15 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the ADC Juan Pablo II College vs. Club Alianza Atlético match originally scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 4:15 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: Any Other Score | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-1 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-3 | 4% YES | 96% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-2 | 4% YES | 96% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 10% YES | 91% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 8% YES | 92% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-1 | 8% YES | 92% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-0 | 5% YES | 96% NO |
ADC Juan Pablo II College will face Club Alianza Atlético in a Peru Liga 1 fixture on 16 May 2026 at 4:15 PM ET. The market settles on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with any unmatched outcome resolving to "Any Other Score." The 49% implied probability on the order book reflects genuine uncertainty around a specific scoreline rather than match outcome alone, as exact-score markets typically fragment probability across numerous possibilities. This particular pairing involves two Peruvian clubs operating at different competitive levels within the domestic league structure.
Exact-score markets in South American football historically show wide probability distributions across plausible results, with 1–1 draws and narrow home victories (1–0, 2–1) capturing the largest single shares. ADC Juan Pablo II College's recent form, squad depth, and home-ground advantage relative to Alianza Atlético's travelling record will shape whether tighter scorelines or higher-scoring outcomes dominate trader expectations. The current 49% reading suggests the order book has concentrated significant probability on one or two specific scorelines rather than spreading evenly.
Traders should monitor team news through May, including injury confirmations and any squad rotation announcements closer to match day. Peruvian Liga 1 fixtures occasionally face scheduling adjustments due to weather or administrative factors, though the settlement window remains open through 20:15 UTC on match day to accommodate standard fixture timing. Recent form data and head-to-head records between these clubs will likely shift the order book's probability distribution in the final trading days before kick-off.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://liga1.pe/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ADC Juan Pablo II College vs. Club Alianza Atlético - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $27K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for soccer contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://liga1.pe/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 16 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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