Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Saudi Professional League game between Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club and Al Hazem SC, scheduled for May 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 60% YES | 40% NO |
| Draw | 30% YES | 71% NO |
| Al Hazem SC | 11% YES | 89% NO |
Al Qadisiyah and Al Hazem meet in the Saudi Professional League on 14 May 2026, with settlement determined by the halftime scoreline. The 60% implied probability on Polymarket's order book currently reflects a lean towards a home win at the interval, though the book remains relatively balanced given the binary nature of three-way halftime outcomes. This probability has formed through active trading across the order book, with the current spread suggesting moderate conviction rather than consensus certainty.
Historical halftime results in the Saudi Professional League show home sides convert their advantage into interval leads roughly 55–65% of the time, depending on fixture quality and seasonal context. Al Qadisiyah's recent form and home record will be material anchors for traders assessing whether 60% fairly prices the home outcome. Comparable fixtures involving mid-table sides typically see halftime probabilities cluster between 50–65% for home results, making the current level consistent with standard market pricing for such matchups.
Traders should monitor team news and squad availability in the days preceding the fixture, particularly injury updates that might affect early-game intensity or tactical setup. The Saudi Professional League schedule occasionally shifts fixtures or timing, so confirmation of the 2:00 PM ET kickoff remains relevant. Weather conditions in Riyadh on match day can influence early-game pace and passing accuracy, though such factors typically move halftime probabilities only marginally. Settlement closes at 18:00 UTC on 14 May, providing a hard deadline for position management post-match.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.slstat.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $5K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for saudi professional league contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.slstat.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 14 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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