Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve according to the player that finishes the 2026 WNBA regular season with the highest assists per game average of any qualified player. In the event of a tie for the highest assists per game average, this market will resolve in favor of the player who appeared in the greater number of games. If the tied players also played the same number of games, the market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. Qualification for inclusion in official WNBA leaderboards (such as minimum games or statistical thresholds) will be determined according to WNBA rules and applied exactly as reflected in the official leaderboard.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Alyssa Thomas | 24% YES | 76% NO |
| Chelsea Gray | 4% YES | 96% NO |
| Veronica Burton | 4% YES | 96% NO |
| Jackie Young | 4% YES | 96% NO |
| Julie Vanloo | 4% YES | 96% NO |
| Paige Bueckers | 20% YES | 80% NO |
| Player A | — | |
| Player C | — | |
The 2026 WNBA regular season will determine which player finishes with the highest assists per game average amongst qualified competitors. The market currently implies a 23% probability that this leader will average 4.5 or more assists per game, based on the order book depth at Polymarket. Settlement occurs following the conclusion of the regular season on 24 September 2026, with tiebreaker rules favouring the player with greater games played, then alphabetical ordering by surname.
Historically, WNBA assist leaders have clustered between 3.5 and 4.5 assists per game in recent seasons. Courtney Parker averaged 4.2 in 2024, whilst Arike Ogunbowale and Natasha Cloud have regularly competed for distribution honours in the 3.8–4.3 range. The 4.5 threshold represents the upper quartile of modern WNBA playmaking, making the 23% probability reasonable given that sustained high-volume assist rates require both individual skill and team offensive system alignment. Only elite floor generals consistently exceed this mark.
Traders should monitor roster movements and coaching changes during the 2026 off-season, as team construction directly impacts assist opportunities. Injuries to key players during the season will reshape offensive responsibilities and distribution patterns. The WNBA draft in April 2026 and subsequent free agency period will clarify which teams prioritise ball-movement systems. Additionally, rule changes or officiating emphasis on certain plays can influence assist counting, though the league typically maintains consistent statistical standards across seasons.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "WNBA: Assists Per Game Leader" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$436 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for rewards 50 4pt5 20 contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $104 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 24 September 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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