Trade: Ligue 1: Most Assists
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve according to the player with the most assists in the 2025-2026 Ligue 1 season. Only assists recorded in Ligue 1 matches will count. Assists in other competitions (e.g., Coupe de France, Trophée des Champions, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market. If multiple players tie for the most assists, the market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $4K
- Total Volume
- $1K
- 24h Volume
- $543
- Open Interest
- $525
Market outcomes
| Ludovic Ajorque | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Matthieu Udol | 2% YES | 98% NO |
| Jonathan Clauss | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| Arsène Kouassi | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| Player B | — | |
| Player E | — | |
| Player L | — | |
| Player M | — | |
Market context
The 2025-26 Ligue 1 season will determine which player records the most assists across all domestic league fixtures through May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket implies just 1% probability for a YES resolution, reflecting either extreme confidence in a specific outcome or substantial uncertainty about which individual will lead the assist charts by season's end. Assist leaders in Ligue 1 typically accumulate 10-15 assists over a full campaign, with the metric dependent on both creative ability and playing time across the entire season.
Historical context shows that Ligue 1 assist leaders have varied considerably in recent seasons. Neymar led with 8 assists in 2019-20, whilst Dimitri Payet managed 13 in 2014-15. The low probability reflected here suggests the market has already priced in a frontrunner—likely a player from Paris Saint-Germain, Olympique Marseille, or another top-six club—with the 1% representing tail-risk scenarios where an unexpected performer emerges or the favourite underperforms due to injury or tactical changes.
Traders should monitor squad composition announcements through the summer transfer window, as departures or arrivals of creative midfielders and wingers will reshape assist distribution. Fixture congestion and European competition involvement will affect playing time; clubs progressing in the Champions League may rotate more heavily in domestic fixtures. The season runs from August 2025 through May 2026, providing ample opportunity for form shifts and injuries to alter the assist leaderboard substantially.
Wikipedia Context
-
Ledger lineA ledger line or leger line is used in Western musical notation to notate pitches above or below the lines and spaces of the regular musical staff. A line slightly longer than the note head is drawn parallel to the staff, above or below, spaced at the same distance as the lines within the staff.
-
Life Is Most ImportantLife Is Most Important is a 1987 Mexican drama film directed by Luis Alcoriza. It was entered into the 15th Moscow International Film Festival. The film was selected as the Mexican entry for the Best Foreign Language Film at the 60th Academy Awards, but did not garner a nomination.
-
United States Post Office (Lihue, Hawaii)The Lihue Post Office in Lihue, Hawaii, was built in 1939. It was listed on the National Register of Historic Places as U.S. Post Office-Lihue in 1989.
-
Monty Python Live (Mostly)Monty Python Live (Mostly) (also billed as Monty Python Live (Mostly): One Down, Five to Go) was a variety show by the Monty Python comedy group at The O2 in London in July 2014. Planned as a single performance for 1 July, it was expanded to 10 shows due to the high demand for tickets. It was their first live performance together in 34 years, the second with
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://ligue1.com/en/data-zone/ligue1mcdonalds/season-stats/players/assists. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Ligue 1: Most Assists" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$1K in lifetime turnover and $4K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for ligue 1 contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $543 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://ligue1.com/en/data-zone/ligue1mcdonalds/season-stats/players/assists. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Ligue 1: Most Assists"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Related prediction markets
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: