Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve according to the winner of the League of Legends Pro League (LPL) 2026 season. If the 2026 LPL season is postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LPL league organizers; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| EDward Gaming | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| JD Gaming | 11% YES | 89% NO |
| Oh My God | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Team WE | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| Weibo Gaming | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| Team D | — | |
| Team F | — | |
| Team J | — | |
The League of Legends Pro League will conduct its 2026 season, with a champion crowned through the standard regular season and playoff format overseen by Riot Games' Chinese operations. The current order book on Polymarket reflects 0% implied probability for a YES resolution, suggesting traders are pricing in either extreme uncertainty about which team will win or technical concerns about market mechanics and settlement conditions.
Historical context from prior LPL seasons shows that the league has maintained consistent scheduling and produced clear winners annually, with teams like EDward Gaming, FunPlus Phoenix, and Invictus Gaming dominating recent years. The 0% probability reading is unusual given the LPL's operational reliability; comparable esports league winner markets typically show distributed probabilities across favoured franchises rather than complete dismissal. This suggests the current pricing may reflect low trading volume or positioning ahead of roster announcements and pre-season information.
Key catalysts for traders include the 2026 roster transfer window, expected to conclude in late 2025, which will clarify team strength compositions. The LPL's official schedule release, typically announced in November, will confirm the season timeline and playoff dates. Monitoring Riot Games' official LPL channels and Chinese esports news outlets will signal any material changes to league structure or timing that could affect settlement conditions. The December 31, 2026 deadline creates a hard constraint; any season延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延延
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "LPL 2026 Season Winner" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$767K in lifetime turnover and $72K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for league of legends contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $2K in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.
The market has been open for 6 months — the price has had time to stabilise as new information arrived.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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