Resolution criteria on PolyGram: As of market creation, Wix.com is estimated to release earnings on May 13, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Wix.com’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.22 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Wix.com reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $1.22 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Wix.com releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Will Wix.com (WIX) beat quarterly earnings? | 93% YES | 8% NO |
Wix.com is scheduled to report first-quarter 2026 earnings on 13 May, with the Street consensus for non-GAAP EPS set at $1.22. The market resolves to "Yes" if reported earnings exceed this threshold. On Polymarket's order book, the current implied probability of 91% reflects strong confidence in a beat, with substantial liquidity concentrated at the upper end of the probability range.
Historically, Wix has demonstrated consistent earnings delivery relative to consensus, though the company operates in a competitive web-building and hosting sector where guidance revisions can shift expectations sharply. The 91% probability sits notably high relative to broader SaaS earnings-beat rates, which typically cluster around 70–75% across the sector. This suggests either elevated conviction in Wix's operational execution or a consensus estimate set conservatively relative to management's private guidance.
Key catalysts include any pre-earnings commentary from management, changes to forward guidance, or shifts in the broader SaaS valuation environment in the weeks preceding 13 May. Traders should monitor Wix's customer acquisition costs and churn metrics, which drive quarterly performance variance. Recent analyst notes and any guidance updates from competing platforms will inform whether the 91% probability reflects genuine operational strength or crowded positioning ahead of the release.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://seekingalpha.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Will Wix.com (WIX) beat quarterly earnings?" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1K in lifetime turnover and $405 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for hide from new contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $97 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 93%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://seekingalpha.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: