Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game between CD Moquegua and Club Universitario de Deportes, scheduled for May 23, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CD Moquegua vs. Club Universitario de Deportes match originally scheduled for May 23, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-1 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-0 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-3 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-2 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
CD Moquegua will face Club Universitario de Deportes in Peru's Liga 1 on 23 May 2026. The market settles on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with any unmatched outcome resolving to "Any Other Score." The 49% implied probability for a specific scoreline reflects the inherent difficulty in predicting exact results in football; even strong favourites rarely exceed 15–20% probability for any single scoreline. Polymarket's order book is currently pricing this at near-even odds, suggesting traders view the listed outcomes as roughly balanced against the catch-all category.
Universitario enters as the stronger side, competing regularly for Peru's championship, whilst Moquegua operates in the lower half of the table. Historical matchups between clubs of disparate quality typically show the favourite winning 55–65% of the time, but exact scores cluster around 1–0, 2–0, and 2–1 results. The current probability distribution on the order book will shift based on team news: injuries to key players, particularly Universitario's attacking options, would narrow the range of likely scorelines and potentially increase the probability of lower-scoring outcomes.
Traders should monitor official Liga 1 fixture confirmations and any postponement announcements closer to the settlement window. Recent squad rotations in Peru's domestic league have been documented by local sports outlets covering mid-season form. Weather conditions in Moquegua's high-altitude stadium can affect play style and goal frequency, a factor worth tracking in the final week before kick-off.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://liga1.pe/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "CD Moquegua vs. Club Universitario de Deportes - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $221 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://liga1.pe/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 23 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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