Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Egypt Egyptian Premier League game between Kahrabaa Ismailia FC and Haras El Hodood SC, scheduled for May 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Kahrabaa Ismailia FC vs. Haras El Hodood SC match originally scheduled for May 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 2-3 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-1 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-0 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
Kahrabaa Ismailia FC will face Haras El Hodood SC in an Egyptian Premier League fixture on 18 May 2026. The market settles on the exact final score at 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with any outcome not explicitly listed resolving to "Any Other Score." The 49% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects genuine uncertainty around the precise scoreline, as exact-score markets typically distribute probability across numerous possible outcomes rather than concentrating it on a single result.
Egyptian Premier League matches between mid-table and lower-tier sides historically produce varied scorelines, though 1–0 and 1–1 results remain common in competitive fixtures. Kahrabaa Ismailia and Haras El Hodood occupy different positions in the league hierarchy, with their recent form and head-to-head record informing which specific scores traders should weight more heavily. The current probability distribution suggests the market is pricing in a competitive encounter without a clear favourite for any single outcome.
Traders should monitor team news and squad availability in the weeks preceding the match, particularly injury reports that could affect attacking depth. Fixture congestion in the Egyptian Premier League's final weeks may influence rotation decisions and tactical approaches. Any official postponement announcements would halt settlement, though the market remains active until the scheduled kick-off time. Weather conditions in Egypt during May are stable, reducing weather-related postponement risk.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.efa.com.eg/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Kahrabaa Ismailia FC vs. Haras El Hodood SC - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $203 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.efa.com.eg/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 18 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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