Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Egypt Egyptian Premier League game between Ghazl El Mahalla SC and El Ittihad SC El Iskandary, scheduled for May 18, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Ghazl El Mahalla SC vs. El Ittihad SC El Iskandary match originally scheduled for May 18, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 48% YES | 53% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-0 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-3 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-2 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-3 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
Ghazl El Mahalla SC will face El Ittihad SC El Iskandary in an Egyptian Premier League fixture on 18 May 2026. The market is pricing an exact score outcome at 48% implied probability on Polymarket's order book, reflecting current trader positioning on a specific scoreline rather than a match result. With settlement occurring at 17:00 UTC on match day, the market captures only regulation time plus stoppage time, excluding any extra-time scenarios.
Exact score markets in Egyptian Premier League fixtures typically see lower probabilities for individual outcomes given the range of possible results. Historical data from comparable domestic league matches suggests that scorelines of 1–1, 1–0, and 2–1 account for roughly 45–50% of all outcomes across similar competitive tiers. Ghazl El Mahalla and El Ittihad El Iskandary have demonstrated variable attacking output in recent seasons, with both clubs capable of producing low-scoring encounters. The current 48% probability indicates traders are positioning on a specific scoreline that aligns with these statistical patterns rather than betting against a wide distribution of possibilities.
Traders should monitor team news closer to the fixture, including injury confirmations and squad availability, which typically emerge in the week preceding the match. Recent fixture congestion in the Egyptian Premier League's final weeks may affect squad rotation and fatigue levels. Polymarket's order book depth will shift as match day approaches and more information becomes available regarding starting lineups and tactical approaches.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.efa.com.eg/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Ghazl El Mahalla SC vs. El Ittihad SC El Iskandary - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $254 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.efa.com.eg/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 18 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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