Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket semifinal match between Wolves Esports and FunPlus Phoenix in the Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 1, initially scheduled for May 13 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Wolves Esports" if Wolves Esports win the match against FunPlus Phoenix. This market will resolve to "FunPlus Phoenix" if FunPlus Phoenix win the match against Wolves Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: FPX (-1.5) vs Wolves Esports (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Wolves Esports and FunPlus Phoenix meet in a lower bracket semifinal of the Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 1, a best-of-three Valorant match scheduled for 13 May at 05:00 ET. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either minimal liquidity at current price levels or strong consensus backing FunPlus Phoenix. This qualifier determines advancement toward the main Esports World Cup tournament, making the stakes material for both organisations' competitive calendars.
FunPlus Phoenix has established itself as a consistent top-tier Chinese Valorant competitor, whilst Wolves Esports' recent form and roster composition warrant examination against this opponent. Historical lower bracket matchups in regional qualifiers often feature tighter margins than outright probabilities suggest, particularly when teams possess comparable recent results or have faced mutual opponents. The current 0% reading likely reflects either a pricing gap rather than genuine certainty, or reflects Wolves' documented underperformance relative to FunPlus in head-to-head records.
Traders should monitor official Esports World Cup communications for any schedule changes, roster confirmations, or last-minute substitutions prior to the 13 May fixture. Recent patch notes affecting Valorant's agent meta could shift preparation priorities for either team. The settlement window closes at 15:00 ET on match day, allowing approximately ten hours for completion. Cancellation or delays beyond seven days would trigger a 50-50 resolution, introducing tail risk that current pricing may not fully account for given the qualifier's compressed timeline.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://vlr.gg. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Valorant: Wolves Esports vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 1" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $3K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://vlr.gg. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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