Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket round 1 match between Team Liquid and Team Vitality in the VCT EMEA Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 7 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against Team Vitality. This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win the match against Team Liquid. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 27% YES | 73% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Team Liquid face Team Vitality in the upper bracket round one of the VCT EMEA Playoffs, a best-of-three match scheduled for 7 May 2026 at 2:00PM ET. The winner advances directly through the upper bracket; the loser drops to the lower bracket. This is a knockout fixture in the regional playoffs that determine qualification for international competition.
Team Liquid have historically been the stronger European outfit, with multiple international trophy runs and consistent top-four finishes at VCT events. Team Vitality have shown volatility—capable of deep runs but also early exits depending on roster stability and form. The 20% implied probability for Liquid suggests the market is pricing Vitality as substantial favourites, likely reflecting recent head-to-head results, current form trajectories, or roster changes within the past season. Historical matchup records and LAN performance differentials between the two organisations typically inform such odds in esports betting.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions in the weeks before 7 May, as personnel changes materially affect competitive balance. Scrim results and recent online qualifier performances will offer form indicators, though these are not always publicly disclosed. Any schedule delays beyond the seven-day window would trigger a 50-50 resolution regardless of match outcome, creating tail risk. Official VCT communications regarding venue, format changes, or technical issues should be tracked through Riot Games' esports channels and team announcements.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_emea. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$364K in lifetime turnover and $486K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 10% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $360K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_emea. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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