Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Valorant Round 1 match between Leviatán Esports and Global Esports in the VCT Masters London Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 7 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Leviatán Esports" if Leviatán Esports win the match against Global Esports. This market will resolve to "Global Esports" if Global Esports win the match against Leviatán Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 60% YES | 40% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 65% YES | 35% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 59% YES | 42% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 52% YES | 48% NO |
| Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5) | 49% YES | 51% NO |
Leviatán Esports will face Global Esports in a best-of-three match during the VCT Masters London group stage on 7 June at 1:00PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket prices Leviatán at 60% implied probability, reflecting modest favouritism despite Global Esports' recent competitive showings in international tournaments. This probability formation reflects the market's assessment of relative team strength, recent form, and head-to-head dynamics in the current Valorant meta.
Leviatán, representing Latin America, has historically performed well at international VCT events, though their consistency varies significantly between tournaments. Global Esports, the Indian representatives, have demonstrated improved results at Masters-level competition over the past year, narrowing the traditional gap between regions. The 60-40 split suggests traders view this as a competitive matchup rather than a clear favourite scenario, with meaningful uncertainty baked into the current pricing.
Traders should monitor team roster confirmations and any last-minute lineup changes in the days preceding the match, as these can materially shift competitive balance. Schedule adherence is critical given the settlement window's strict 7-day buffer—any significant delays beyond 14 June would trigger a 50-50 resolution. Recent VCT Masters results and scrim performance leaks, typically shared across esports communities in the week before group play, often provide early signals of team preparation levels and meta adaptation that can shift market expectations before match day.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/VALORANT. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1K in lifetime turnover and $10K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $142 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/VALORANT. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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