Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege Round 3 match between FaZe Clan and Wildcard Gaming in the BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 11 at 6:45PM ET. This market will resolve to "FaZe Clan" if FaZe Clan win the match against Wildcard Gaming. This market will resolve to "Wildcard Gaming" if Wildcard Gaming win the match against FaZe Clan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 64% YES | 36% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 60% YES | 40% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 55% YES | 45% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 48% YES | 53% NO |
| Game Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs Wildcard Gaming (+1.5) | 37% YES | 63% NO |
FaZe Clan face Wildcard Gaming in a best-of-three Round 3 match at the BLAST R6 Major in Salt Lake City, scheduled for 11 May at 6:45PM ET. The match forms part of the group stage competition, where both teams compete for seeding advancement and prize pool qualification. Current order book activity on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 split, suggesting traders view this as a genuine toss-up between two evenly matched squads.
FaZe Clan and Wildcard Gaming occupy similar tiers within competitive Rainbow Six Siege, with recent LAN performances showing marginal advantages shifting between them depending on map pool and meta adaptation. FaZe's historical consistency at BLAST events provides some structural confidence, whilst Wildcard's unpredictability in high-pressure formats creates offsetting uncertainty. Comparable matchups at this tier typically resolve within 60-40 ranges rather than true parity, suggesting the current 50-50 pricing may reflect incomplete information or genuine roster-form equivalence at present.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute lineup changes through the official BLAST broadcast schedule and team social channels, as substitutions materially affect outcome probabilities. Map pool announcements, typically released 24 hours pre-match, will clarify which operators and sites favour each team's tactical preferences. Delay risk exists given the tournament's compressed schedule; any postponement beyond 7 days triggers automatic 50-50 resolution per market terms, creating a distinct settlement hazard separate from match outcome uncertainty.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/rainbow6. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Rainbow Six Siege: FaZe Clan vs Wildcard Gaming (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$360 in lifetime turnover and $7K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $360 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/rainbow6. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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