Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Overwatch Semifinal 2 match between Crazy Raccoon and Falcons in the OCS Korea Stage 1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 2 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Crazy Raccoon" if Crazy Raccoon win the match against Falcons. This market will resolve to "Falcons" if Falcons win the match against Crazy Raccoon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 3 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Crazy Raccoon and Falcons are scheduled to contest the Overwatch Champions Series Korea Stage 1 Playoffs semifinal on 2 May 2026 at 3:30 AM ET. The match is a best-of-four series. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for Crazy Raccoon victory, suggesting near-complete confidence in a Falcons win amongst active traders. This extreme skew typically emerges when one team holds a decisive advantage in recent form, roster strength, or head-to-head record within the competitive Overwatch ecosystem.
Historical precedent in OCS Korea playoffs shows that favourites—teams ranked higher in regular season standings or carrying stronger recent tournament results—do tend to advance, though upsets occur when roster changes, meta shifts, or preparation gaps favour the underdog. The 0% pricing here indicates traders view Falcons as substantially superior, though such extreme probabilities often reflect low liquidity rather than certainty. Traders should monitor whether Crazy Raccoon has made roster adjustments, coaching changes, or demonstrated improved performance in recent scrims that might challenge the current assessment.
Key catalysts include official confirmation of team rosters closer to the match date, any withdrawal or postponement announcements, and performance data from preceding playoff matches. The settlement window closes at the scheduled match time; any delay beyond seven days without a determined winner triggers a 50-50 resolution. Traders should track OCS Korea's official communications and team social media for roster news or scheduling updates that could shift the current extreme positioning.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/ow_esports_jp. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Overwatch: Crazy Raccoon vs Falcons (BO4) - OCS Korea Stage 1 Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/ow_esports_jp. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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