Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between VfB eSports and G2 NORD in the Prime League 1st Division Group B, initially scheduled for May 6 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "VfB eSports" if VfB eSports win the match against G2 NORD. This market will resolve to "G2 NORD" if G2 NORD win the match against VfB eSports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs VfB eSports (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 0% YES | 100% NO |
VfB eSports face G2 NORD in a best-of-three League of Legends match within the Prime League 1st Division Group B on 6 May at 16:00 BST. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for VfB eSports, indicating traders are pricing this as a near-certain outcome. This extreme skew suggests either substantial confidence in VfB's superiority or limited liquidity on the G2 NORD side of the book.
Prime League matches at this tier have historically produced upsets when roster changes or meta shifts favour the underdog, though G2's organisational backing typically translates to competitive performance. VfB eSports' recent form and head-to-head record against G2 NORD would inform whether this probability reflects genuine dominance or market inefficiency. Comparable Group B fixtures in prior seasons show that 100% probabilities rarely hold when both teams have qualified for structured league play, suggesting traders may be overweighting recent results or underweighting G2 NORD's potential.
Key catalysts include any last-minute roster announcements, player availability issues, or schedule changes prior to the 6 May fixture. The settlement window closes at 21:10 BST, allowing seven hours post-match for result confirmation. Traders should monitor Prime League official communications for postponements or technical issues that could trigger the 50-50 tie resolution clause. The extreme probability currently priced leaves minimal margin for the underdog, making any G2 NORD-favourable information a potential volatility driver.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/primeleague. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: VfB eSports vs G2 NORD (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group B" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$13K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/primeleague. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 6 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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