Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between UCAM Esports Club and UB Alma Mater in the LES Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 7 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "UCAM Esports Club" if UCAM Esports Club win the match against UB Alma Mater. This market will resolve to "UB Alma Mater" if UB Alma Mater win the match against UCAM Esports Club. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game Handicap: UCAM (-1.5) vs UB Alma Mater (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% YES | 100% NO |
UCAM Esports Club will face UB Alma Mater in a League of Legends best-of-three match within the LES Regular Season on 7 May at 16:00 GMT. The match is scheduled to conclude well before the settlement window closes at 21:00 GMT the same day, providing a straightforward resolution window. The 100% implied probability suggests the market reflects near-certainty that the match will occur and produce a decisive outcome.
The current pricing reflects typical patterns in regional esports leagues where scheduled matches between established teams proceed as planned. LES fixtures have historically maintained reliable scheduling, with cancellations or extended delays remaining uncommon. Previous seasons show that regular season matches between university-affiliated teams generally complete within their scheduled timeframes, though technical issues or unforeseen circumstances occasionally necessitate brief postponements.
Traders should monitor official LES communications and team announcements for any fixture changes, player availability issues, or venue complications in the days preceding the match. University esports schedules can occasionally shift due to academic calendars or facility access constraints. The settlement mechanism's 50-50 resolution for cancellations or delays exceeding seven days creates a defined risk boundary; however, the substantial time buffer between the scheduled match date and settlement deadline substantially reduces the likelihood of this contingency affecting resolution.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/LES. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs UB Alma Mater (BO3) - LES Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$124K in lifetime turnover and $1.5M of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $76K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/LES. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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