Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between Eintracht Frankfurt and Eintracht Spandau in the Prime League 1st Division Group B, initially scheduled for May 7 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Eintracht Frankfurt" if Eintracht Frankfurt win the match against Eintracht Spandau. This market will resolve to "Eintracht Spandau" if Eintracht Spandau win the match against Eintracht Frankfurt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Eintracht Frankfurt and Eintracht Spandau are scheduled to compete in a best-of-three League of Legends match within the Prime League 1st Division Group B on 7 May 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. The 0% implied probability suggests either minimal trading activity or strong market consensus that Frankfurt are heavily favoured, though the sparse liquidity typical of regional esports markets can produce extreme odds that don't reflect genuine uncertainty.
Frankfurt compete in Germany's premier League of Legends league and have historically fielded more developed rosters than Spandau, a Berlin-based organisation. Comparable matchups between established Prime League franchises and newer entrants typically see the established side prevail in best-of-three formats, where preparation depth and scrim experience become decisive factors. However, single matches within group stages occasionally produce upsets, particularly if roster changes or meta shifts have occurred between the scheduled date and the match itself.
Traders should monitor Prime League's official schedule for any postponements or cancellations, which would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause if the match remains unplayed beyond 7 May. Roster announcements or player availability issues in the weeks preceding the fixture could shift competitive balance, particularly if either side experiences mid-season roster rotations. The settlement window closes at 21:00 UTC on 7 May, allowing approximately ten hours after the scheduled start time for match completion and result confirmation through official League of Legends esports channels.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/primeleague. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Eintracht Spandau (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group B" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$88K in lifetime turnover and $1.1M of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $87K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/primeleague. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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