Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between Sentinels and Dignitas in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 17 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Sentinels" if Sentinels win the match against Dignitas. This market will resolve to "Dignitas" if Dignitas win the match against Sentinels. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 71% YES | 30% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5) | 47% YES | 54% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Sentinels face Dignitas in a League of Legends best-of-three match during the LCS regular season, scheduled for 17 May at 21:00 UTC. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 71% implied probability favoring Sentinels, pricing them as clear favourites in this matchup. This probability has formed through active trading across the platform's liquidity pools, with the spread between bid and ask orders indicating moderate confidence in the outcome rather than consensus certainty.
Sentinels have historically maintained stronger regular-season performance than Dignitas in recent LCS splits, which contextualises the current probability gap. However, best-of-three formats introduce volatility absent from single-game markets; teams trailing 0–1 frequently force decisive third games, and map-specific champion pools can shift momentum unpredictably. Dignitas' recent roster adjustments and mid-season form relative to Sentinels' consistency will determine whether the 71% weighting holds or compresses closer to even odds as match day approaches.
Traders should monitor LCS official announcements regarding any schedule changes, player availability, or technical delays that could trigger the 7-day resolution clause. Patch notes released before 17 May may favour one team's champion pool, whilst recent scrim results or team statements occasionally surface in esports communities and can shift market sentiment. The settlement window closes 18 May at 02:00 UTC, allowing roughly 24 hours post-match for official results confirmation before resolution.
The London, Midland and Scottish Railway (LMS) Sentinels 7160–7163, later renumbered 7180–7183 and by British Railways 47180–47183, was a class of small vertical boilered chain-driven shunting locomotives.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/lcs. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Sentinels vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $6K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/lcs. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 18 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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