Trade: LoL: RED Canids vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 1 match between RED Canids and Leviatan Esports in the Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 7 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "RED Canids" if RED Canids win the match against Leviatan Esports. This market will resolve to "Leviatan Esports" if Leviatan Esports win the match against RED Canids. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $3K
- Total Volume
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- 24h Volume
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- Open Interest
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Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 84% YES | 16% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 51% YES | 49% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Game Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
RED Canids face Leviatan Esports in the upper bracket quarterfinals of the Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs, a best-of-three League of Legends match scheduled for 7 June at 12:00 PM ET. The winner advances directly to the semi-finals, whilst the loser drops to the lower bracket. This qualifier determines regional representation for the broader Esports World Cup competition, making it a consequential fixture in the South American and Latin American competitive calendar.
RED Canids have historically dominated the Brazilian League of Legends scene and typically enter such qualifiers as favourites. Leviatan Esports, based in Chile, competes across the broader LATAM region but has faced inconsistent results against top Brazilian teams. The current 72% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects this established hierarchy, though regional upsets do occur. Recent performances in domestic leagues and head-to-head records between these organisations inform the probability formation, with RED Canids' track record of playoff success weighting the market substantially in their favour.
Traders should monitor roster changes or last-minute substitutions announced before the match, as mid-season roster adjustments occasionally affect competitive performance. The scheduled timing on 7 June leaves minimal buffer before the settlement window closes at 22:00 UTC the same day, meaning any delays beyond standard match duration could trigger the tie-resolution clause. Confirmation of the match proceeding as scheduled and any official announcements from the tournament organisers will be critical catalysts affecting the probability throughout the trading window.
Wikipedia Context
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Lol CremeLaurence Neil "Lol" Creme is an English musician and music video director, best known for his work in 10cc. He was later one half of the duo Godley & Creme, with 10cc drummer Kevin Godley. Creme has collaborated with Trevor Horn's Band. He sings and plays guitar, bass and keyboards.
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Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://gol.gg/esports/home. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "LoL: RED Canids vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playof" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$0 in lifetime turnover and $3K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://gol.gg/esports/home. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "LoL: RED Canids vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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