Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between Once Upon A Team and ZennIT in the Road Of Legends Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 14 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Once Upon A Team" if Once Upon A Team win the match against ZennIT. This market will resolve to "ZennIT" if ZennIT win the match against Once Upon A Team. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 27% YES | 73% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 69% YES | 32% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 27% YES | 73% NO |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 27% YES | 73% NO |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 26% YES | 74% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Match Winner | 57% YES | 43% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 55% YES | 45% NO |
Once Upon A Team face ZennIT in a best-of-three League of Legends fixture within the Road Of Legends Regular Season, scheduled for 14 May at 2:00 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket prices Once Upon A Team's victory at 27%, reflecting substantial backing for ZennIT as favourites. This probability formation occurs in real time across the platform's liquidity pools, with traders continuously adjusting positions based on available information about team rosters, recent performance, and competitive standing.
Road Of Legends operates as a regional competitive circuit with variable team strength across its roster. Historical resolution patterns in similar regional LoL fixtures show that matches involving established franchises versus emerging organisations often settle within the implied range when roster stability remains constant. ZennIT's current market positioning as 73% favourites suggests traders assess them as the stronger outfit, though regional tournaments frequently produce upsets when meta shifts or preparation advantages favour the underdog. Once Upon A Team's 27% probability reflects genuine but minority-backed chances of victory.
Traders should monitor roster announcements or substitutions in the days preceding 14 May, as mid-season roster changes materially shift match outcomes in regional competition. Patch notes released by Riot Games before the fixture could favour one team's champion pool or playstyle. The settlement window closes 15 May at 00:00 UTC, allowing seven days for match completion; any cancellation or unresolved status triggers a 50-50 resolution. Recent performance data from both teams' prior fixtures within Road Of Legends will clarify whether current pricing reflects genuine competitive disparity or market inefficiency.
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This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/road_of_legends. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Once Upon A Team vs ZennIT (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $6K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/road_of_legends. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 15 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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