Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket round 1 match between KT Rolster and HANJIN BRION in the Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 18 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win the match against HANJIN BRION. This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win the match against KT Rolster. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 69% YES | 32% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 64% YES | 37% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 64% YES | 37% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) | 41% YES | 60% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% YES | 51% NO |
KT Rolster and HANJIN BRION will contest a League of Legends lower bracket first-round match in the Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs on 18 May at 04:00 ET. The best-of-three fixture determines progression in Korea's regional qualifying pathway for the international tournament. The 69% implied probability on Polymarket's order book currently reflects KT Rolster as the favoured side, with the spread suggesting roughly 2-to-1 odds in their favour.
KT Rolster's historical standing in Korean League competition provides context for the current pricing. The organisation has maintained consistent playoff presence across multiple seasons and typically fields experienced rosters capable of executing macro play under pressure. HANJIN BRION, by contrast, has competed less frequently at the highest tier of Korean competition, making direct head-to-head records limited. When comparable lower-bracket matchups feature an established franchise against a less-proven challenger, the market typically prices the established side at 65–75% probability, placing today's 69% within normal range for such pairings.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any schedule adjustments announced by the Esports World Cup organisers in the days preceding the match. Injury reports or last-minute substitutions could shift the probability materially, particularly if either team's mid or jungle player becomes unavailable. The settlement window closes at 14:00 UTC on 18 May, allowing seven days for match completion; any delay beyond 25 May without resolution triggers the 50-50 tie clause. Current liquidity on the order book will likely tighten as match time approaches.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/EWC_STCArena_EN. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $38K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
Last 24 hours alone saw $2K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/EWC_STCArena_EN. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 18 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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