Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between Crusaders and Bubliki in the LPLOL Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 2 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Crusaders" if Crusaders win the match against Bubliki. This market will resolve to "Bubliki" if Bubliki win the match against Crusaders. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 3 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 4 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The LPLOL Playoffs lower bracket final between Crusaders and Bubliki is scheduled for 2 June at 2:00PM ET, with the winner advancing to the grand final. The current Polymarket order book prices Crusaders at 5% implied probability, reflecting strong market conviction towards Bubliki. This pricing emerges from real-time trading activity on the platform, where the spread between bid and ask orders establishes the consensus probability at any given moment.
Crusaders' 5% odds position them as substantial underdogs in a best-of-five format. Historical precedent from lower bracket finals in regional League of Legends competitions shows that teams reaching this stage typically possess comparable mechanical skill and strategic depth, yet the market's extreme confidence in Bubliki suggests meaningful differences in recent form, roster stability, or head-to-head records. Lower bracket trajectories often reflect momentum and fatigue states that persist into final matches, factors the market appears to be pricing heavily.
Traders should monitor official LPLOL scheduling confirmations and any roster announcements through 2 June, as competitive integrity issues or unexpected roster changes could trigger the 50-50 tie-resolution clause. Recent patch notes affecting champion viability and bans may also shift preparation advantages between teams. The settlement window closes at 00:15 UTC on 3 June, providing a narrow window for match completion; any delays beyond 7 days from the scheduled date would similarly resolve to 50-50 regardless of eventual outcome.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/rtparenalol. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Crusaders vs Bubliki (BO5) - LPLOL Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$130K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $125K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/rtparenalol. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: