Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower Bracket Quarterfinal 2 match between REKONIX and Mentality Monster in the Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 4 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "REKONIX" if REKONIX win the match against Mentality Monster. This market will resolve to "Mentality Monster" if Mentality Monster win the match against REKONIX. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Game 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Match Winner | 70% YES | 31% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 89% YES | 12% NO |
| Game Handicap: RNX (-1.5) vs Mentality Monster (+1.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 1? | 95% YES | 5% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1? | 95% YES | 5% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 95% YES | 5% NO |
REKONIX and Mentality Monster are scheduled to compete in the Lower Bracket Quarterfinal 2 of the Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs on 4 June at 4:00 AM ET. The best-of-three match determines progression in the regional qualifier pathway for one of Dota 2's premier international tournaments. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for REKONIX, indicating the market has priced in an overwhelming expectation of their victory.
Southeast Asian Dota 2 qualifiers have historically featured volatile outcomes, with roster stability and recent form heavily influencing results. REKONIX's current pricing suggests either established dominance in regional rankings or significant recent momentum, though such extreme probabilities in esports often reflect limited liquidity rather than certainty. Comparable lower-bracket matches in regional qualifiers typically see more balanced probability distributions unless one team holds a demonstrable competitive advantage or the opposing squad faces documented roster issues.
Traders should monitor official tournament announcements regarding match scheduling confirmations, any last-minute roster changes, or technical delays that could trigger the 7-day postponement clause. Recent Southeast Asian esports coverage from outlets including Esports Observer and regional Dota 2 community channels should be consulted for team form updates and player availability. The settlement window closes 4 June at 14:00 UTC, providing a 10-hour buffer beyond the scheduled start time for match completion.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/robbnroll. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Dota 2: REKONIX vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playo" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$19K in lifetime turnover and $158K of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $19K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/robbnroll. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 4 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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