Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Semifinal 1 match between REKONIX and GLYPH in the Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 3 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "REKONIX" if REKONIX win the match against GLYPH. This market will resolve to "GLYPH" if GLYPH win the match against REKONIX. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 34% YES | 67% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 64% YES | 37% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Game Handicap: RNX (-1.5) vs GLYPH (+1.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 1? | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 1? | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 50% YES | 51% NO |
REKONIX and GLYPH are set to compete in the Upper Bracket Semifinal 1 of the Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs, a best-of-three Dota 2 match scheduled for 3 June 2026 at 08:00 ET. The winner advances deeper into the qualifier bracket, which feeds into the broader Esports World Cup circuit. The current Polymarket order book reflects a 59% implied probability for REKONIX victory, suggesting moderate confidence in their advancement but acknowledging material uncertainty.
Southeast Asian Dota 2 qualifiers have historically shown volatile outcomes, with roster stability and recent scrim performance often diverging from published rankings. Teams in this region frequently experience mid-season roster adjustments and coaching changes that reshape competitive dynamics. Recent comparable upper-bracket semifinals in regional qualifiers have seen favourites (55–65% implied) advance roughly 70% of the time, though upsets remain common when underdogs field cohesive five-stack lineups or exploit meta shifts. The current 59% probability for REKONIX sits within the typical range for a slight favourite in this tournament tier.
Traders should monitor official tournament announcements regarding any roster changes, player availability, or scheduling delays through the Esports World Cup's official channels and regional qualifier pages. Scrim results and recent LAN performance from both teams, if publicly documented, may shift the order book in the days before the match. The settlement window closes 18:00 UTC on 3 June, allowing minimal post-match trading window; any match delays beyond 7 days without completion trigger a 50-50 resolution.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/betboom_dota_ru4. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Dota 2: REKONIX vs GLYPH (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$19K in lifetime turnover and $36K of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
Last 24 hours alone saw $19K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/betboom_dota_ru4. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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